Here are my predictions for the ‘digital’ industry for the coming year. I’ve been making digital predictions since 2010 and at the end of each year I review how the predictions fared – see the digital predictions for 2017 and work backwards.
1. Tesla share price to drop significantly
Each quarter, Tesla’s costs keep increasing by hundreds of millions of dollars.
Its profit margin keeps slipping further into the red.
Other companies, both traditional and new entrants, will catch up to Tesla in 2018.
Finally, 2017 was generally a good financial year, and if consumer confidence drops in 2018, people will buy fewer cars. There’s also the debt pile-up in the US car loans industry. Total auto loans in the US have increased 70% in the last 7 years to $1.17 trillion – and much of it is subprime, with some buyers opting for 7(!!) year loans (think about the value of the car at the end of 7 years).
We’ll see Tesla’s share price drop by at least 30% this coming year. Continue reading 2018 Digital Predictions